There is an 33%40% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. While we are officially in an El Nio pattern, its full effects will not be felt until this coming fall and winter when we expect it to be cooler and wetter than average, which should alleviate the drought situation, possibly entirely. The drought indices used in this map are based on the GridMET dataset and use a reference period of 1979present. The heat wave that has been plaguing huge stretches of the southern U.S. is forecast to continue in areas . National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices: National Weather Service | Southern Region, National Weather Service | West Gulf River Forecast Center, National Weather Service | Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center, South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Southern Climate Impacts Planning Program (SCIPP, a NOAA CAP/RISA team). Abnormally Dry (D0) indicates a region that is going into or coming out of drought. View typical impacts by state. View typical impacts by state. This map shows the probability (percent chance) of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal temperature 8 to 14 days in the future. D3 Extreme Drought Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 20% to 30% of historical values (i.e., only 20%30% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Learn more about these categories. Estimated streamflow is in the 010th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. D2 Severe Drought Drought/dryness has worsened by 2 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Counties are listed in order of percent of the area . There is an 70%80% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.  80%90% Chance of Above Normal This location received 46 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. During this time period, drought is forecast to improve. The hot conditions are likely to persist through the end of the week. Here's what you need to know about the heat wave gripping Texas 3-Category Degradation Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 20thto 30th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. There is an 80%90% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.5 to -1.3, indicating severe drought (D2) conditions. NWS San Angelo. 4060F Texas will face driest conditions of the last 1,000 years - Phys.org This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. According to these indices, current conditions are drier than 98% to 100% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. 1 is power usage and power supply, Murphy said, noting that Texas set an all-time record for usage . There is an 80%90% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. The PMDI value for this location is -4.9 to -4.0, indicating extreme drought (D3) conditions. Negative values (. But chances for more rain remain elusive in Austin's extended weather forecast for now. Southern Plains Drought Status Updates There is an 33%40% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.  40%50% Chance of Above Normal There is a >90% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.  Near-Normal Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Locations east of US HWY 281 ended the month with between 2 to 4 inches below their normal rainfall for the month of July. Lake Travis is now at 43% and Lake Buchanan is at 58%. Drought/dryness has worsened by 1 category, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. EDDI subseasonal forecasts are updated daily, with a delay of several days. Learn more. Extreme Wet (2nd5th Percentile) Extreme Drought (D3) is the third of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. There is an 60%70% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. Record High Red hues indicate drier conditions, while blue hues indicate wetter conditions. The PMDI value for this location is 4.0 to 4.9, indicating extreme wet (W3) conditions. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 6070F. This location received46 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. Assessment of Historic and Future Trends of Extreme Weather In Texas, 19002036, Fourth National Climate Assessment | Chapter 23: Southern Great Plains, NOAA/NCEI | 2022 Texas State Climate Summary, Texas A&M AgriLife Extension | Managing for Drought on the Rangelands, Texas A&M AgriLife Extension | Drought in Texas. Nearly 40 percent of the state remains vulnerable to drought in the coming weeks. Predicting drought in Texas depends on the ability to forecast precipitation and temperature within the context of complex climate interactions. Precipitation was 100% to 150% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. The average maximum temperature was13F colder than normal for this location. View typical impacts by state. >90% Chance of Below Normal Texas drought reaches 10-year peak, no rain in sight for South Plains View the latest drought-related news, upcoming events, and recordings and summaries of past webinars. D4 (SPI of -2.0 or less) Much Above Normal (>90th Percentile) Get Involved: Submit Local Drought Impacts, Link to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's homepage, Browse by Regional Drought Early Warning System (DEWS), This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Extreme Wet (95th98th Percentile) D4 (PMDI of -5.0 or less) There is a>90% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. 13F Below Normal Red and orange hues indicate drier soils, while greens and blues indicate greater soil moisture. Moderate Wet (80th90th Percentile) Abnormally Dry (20th30th Percentile) According to these indices, current conditions are drier than 90% to 95% of past conditions. For example, the 20102015 Southern Plains drought had far-reaching impacts across economic sectors. Green hues indicate conditions improved, while yellow/orange hues indicate degradations. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 0.8 to 1.2, indicating moderate wet (W1) conditions. This location received less than 0.01 inch of precipitation during this 7-day period. Learn more about these categories. 1-Category Improvement There is an 33%40% chance of above-normal precipitation during this period.  40%50% Chance of Above Normal A multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local scales. Estimated streamflow is in the 10th25th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. 8am EDT July 4, 2023 Precipitation Main Takeaways The majority of South Central Texas saw below normal precipitation for the month of June. There is an 50%60% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 10thto 20th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Learn more about these categories. Drought/dryness has improved by 3 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. The map uses five categories: Abnormally Dry (D0), showing areas that may be going into or are coming out of drought, and four levels of drought (D1D4). D1 (PMDI of -2.9 to -2.0) W4 (SPI of 2.0 or more) Fort Worth/Dallas, TX - National Weather Service Light to locally moderate amounts are expected in higher elevations of the southern Rockies and some adjacent locations. Learn more. We'd love to hear about your experience using Drought.gov! The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 0.5 to 0.7, indicating abnormally wet (W0) conditions. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 10%to 20% of historical values (i.e., only 10%20% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 70% to 80% of historical values. This location received68 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. Drought conditions worsen for parts of Central Texas | kvue.com Individual states and water supply planning may use additional information to inform their declarations and actions. Learn more about these categories. This summer is on track to be among Texas' most extreme What would a strong La . Climate change, combined with a severe drought and La Nia . Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom 0% to 2% of historical values (i.e., less than 2% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). Learn more about these categories. Precipitation was 150% to 200% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020.  200%300% of Normal W3 (PMDI of 5.0 or greater) There is an 70%80% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between3040F. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Abnormally Dry (D0) indicates a region that is going into or coming out of drought, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. View typical impacts by state. There is a >90% chance of below-normal precipitation during this period.  80%90% Chance of Below Normal Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 70%to 80% of historical values. Learn more. Sustained Winds. Moderate Wet (10th20th Percentile) Climate Prediction Center: Seasonal Drought Outlook Discussion There is an 80%90% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is2.0 or greater, indicating exceptional wet (W4) conditions. Drought/dryness has worsened by 3 categories, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 10th to 20th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Get regional drought status updates right to your inbox, as well as drought news, webinars, and other events for the Southern Plains. Learn more about these categories. Long-term droughts(lasting months to years) can have different impacts. Plantings and fieldwork that require rainfall are being delayed in the hopes that moisture will arrive sooner than later. Compared to "normal" conditions, current evaporative demand is forecast to be in the bottom5%to 10% of historical values (i.e., only 5%10% of previous values had lower evaporative demand). There is a>90% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. This map is updated every 5 days, with a delay of 4 to 5 days to allow for data collection and quality control. Learn more about these categories. Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Severe Drought Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. Texas Drought Map for May 30, 2023; Texas Drought Map for May 23, 2023; Texas Drought Map for May 16, 2023; Drought Monitor Maps For Neighboring States and Provinces: Related Texas Maps: Drought Conditions for Texas Cities and Towns. During this time period, drought removal is forecast. With the state experiencing its most severe early summer drought conditions in nearly a decade, Texans are facing a wave of especially hot and dry weather that may kick off one of the state's hottest summers on record, says Texas A&M University climate expert John Nielsen-Gammon. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 90% to 95% of past conditions. Learn more about these categories. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. NIDIS is a multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local levels across the country. Precipitation was 200% to 300% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020.  >300% of Normal The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.2 to -0.8, indicating moderate drought (D1) conditions. Odds favor near-normal precipitation during this period. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. Estimated streamflow is the lowest value recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Now, some Texas cities, water districts, and companies are considering the . There is an 33%40% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. According to these indices, current conditions are wetter than 90% to 95% of past conditions. During this time period, drought is forecast to improve. total precipitation Increase of 0.83 in. There is an 70%80% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.  60%70% Chance of Below Normal Learn more about these categories. The average maximum temperature was13F warmer than normal for this location. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between -1.5 to -1.3, indicating severe drought (D2) conditions. View typical impacts by state. There is an 40%50% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 3040F. Estimated streamflow is in the 90th100th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Intensity and Impacts None D0 (Abnormally Dry) D1 (Moderate Drought) D2 (Severe Drought) D3 (Extreme Drought) D4 (Exceptional Drought) No Data - Delineates dominant impacts In response to the devastating drought in the 1950s, water planners doubled the number of reservoirs in Texas. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 20th to 30th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Learn more. Temperatures should average closer to normal elsewhere, with slightly cooler than normal conditions expected over and near the greater Ohio Valley and the adjacent interior Southeast. Severe Drought (D2) is the second of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. This map shows the moisture content of the top 20 cm of soil compared to historical conditions, based onin situ (in the ground) measurements of soil moisture. There is an 40%50% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. River & Lake Levels. The U.S. Drought Monitor depicts the location and intensity of drought across the country, using 5 classifications (D0D4). There is an 33%40% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. Severe Wet (90th95th Percentile) Precipitation was 50% to 75% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020. A flow category has not been computed for this gauge, for example due to insufficient historical data or no current streamflow estimates. "West Texas seems most likely to get a double whammy: decreased rainfall and increased. Odds for significantly above-normal temperatures exceed 70 percent in a large area encompassing the eastern Great Basin, central and southern Rockies, and most of the Plains from central North Dakota southward into central Texas. Precipitation was only 0% to 25% of the historical average for this location, compared to the same date range from 19912020.  25%50% of Normal 5th10th Percentile The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 1.3 to 1.5, indicating severe wet (W2) conditions. The U.S. Drought Monitor (2000present) depicts the location and intensity of drought across the country. Climate And Drought. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between90100F. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 0.8 to 1.2, indicating moderate wet (W1) conditions. This location received more than 8 inches of precipitation during this 7-day period. Tree rings were used to reconstruct a Palmer Modified Drought Index (PMDI) value for each JuneAugust, estimating relative dryness. The Climate Prediction Center issues its Seasonal Drought Outlooks on the third Thursday of each calendar month. According to a February 2022 study by TWDB, the state's agriculture industry alone suffered an estimated $36 billion in direct losses from this drought. Texas Drought Forecast to Continue, Perhaps For Years The PMDI value for this location is -5.0 or less, indicating exceptional drought (D4) conditions. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between 1020F. Severe Drought (D2) is the second of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. View typical impacts by state. There is an 40%50% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.  33%40% Chance of Below Normal Estimated streamflow is in the 25th75th percentile of historical streamflow values recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. Learn more. The PMDI value for this location is -2.9 to -2.0, indicating moderate drought (D1) conditions. There is an 80%90% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. Much Below Normal ( Drought data released Thursday for Texas show about 21.6% of the state is drought-free. The state's. Texas Drought Conditions Interactive Web Map July 18, 2023 - Plantmaps There is a>90% chanceof above-normal precipitation during this period. The average maximum temperature was68F colder than normal for this location. 2030F Moderate Drought (D1) is the first of four drought categories (D1D4), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. View typical impacts by state. The 7-day average daily maximum temperature is between4060F. This location received 0.010.5 inch of precipitation during this 7-day period. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure youre on a federal government site. There is an 33%40% chance of below-normal temperatures during this period.  33%40% Chance of Above Normal There is an 33%40% chance of above-normal temperatures during this period.  40%50% Chance of Above Normal Estimated streamflow is the lowest value recorded at this gauge on this day of the year. AUSTIN, Texas We've reached Thursday, which can only mean one thing: the new drought monitor has been released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). There is a >90% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. The Living Blended Drought Atlas, shown here, estimates average drought conditions each summer (JuneAugust) as far back as the year 0 by combining tree-ring reconstructions and instrumental records. Soil moisture at 20cm depth is in the top 2% (98th to 100th percentile) of historical measurements for this day of the year.  >90% Chance of Below Normal A multi-agency partnership that coordinates drought monitoring, forecasting, planning, and information at national, state, and local scales. There is an 50%60% chanceof below-normal temperatures during this period. It uses a 0 as normal, and drought is shown in terms of minus . 7/21 7/22 5 AM 11 AM. Learn more about these categories. The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely. Drought Persists Texas' drought may last through winter despite current rains | The This map integrates multiple drought indices measuring precipitation and moisture into one computer-generated drought map, with a reference period of 1979present. Moderate Drought (10th20th Percentile) 2-Category Degradation The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 1.3 to 1.5, indicating severe wet (W2) conditions. The PMDI value for this location is 4.0 to 4.9, indicating extreme wet (W3) conditions. Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 98%to 100% of historical values. Drought Alert Emails Teleconnections, such as ENSO and La Nia events, are atmospheric interactions between widely separated regions. Conditions for Austin, TX (Travis County) Go To Travis County Page Get notified when conditions change Sign Up for Alerts Precipitation (Total) Closest Available Station: O Data Available No Data Available Learn more about these data Temperature (Maximum) Learn more about these data Drought Indicators The average maximum temperature was 34F warmer than normal for this location. Or, sign up to receive drought alerts when the U.S. Drought Monitor or U.S. Drought Outlook updates for your city/zip code. The PMDI value for this location is 2.0 to 2.9, indicating moderate wet (W1) conditions. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value for this location is between 1.6 to 1.9, indicating extreme wet (W3) conditions. Drought Monitor - Water Data For Texas 6070F The average maximum temperature wasmore than8F warmer than normal for this location. Compared to "normal" conditions, evaporative demand is forecast to be greater than 80%to 90% of previous values. However, there might be some hope on the horizon. There is an 70%80% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. There is an 33%40% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. A quarter of the state of Texas has been experiencing exceptional drought - the most extreme level of drought - and suddenly, the skies have opened up above the Lone Star State, nearly wiping . Aviation Weather. The average maximum temperature was34F warmer than normal for this location. Houston could see record-breaking heat as heat dome shifts closer There is an 70%80% chanceof below-normal precipitation during this period. NIDIS supports drought research through advancing the scientific understanding of the mechanisms that lead to drought as well as improving the coordination and delivery of drought information. There is an 60%70% chanceof above-normal temperatures during this period. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 90th to 95th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. Soil moisture at 20cm depth falls between the 80th to 90th percentile of historical measurements for this day of the year. The Texas Water Development Board issues these MayJuly forecasts of seasonal rainfall using a statistical forecast technique ( Fernando et al., 2019 ) based on large scale atmospheric circulation patterns at approximately 5,500 meters above sea level, atmospheric stability influencing the development of convective weather systems, and soil m.